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Software Industry

Software is eating the world. AI is eating software.


If you want to...Go to...
Build software productsProducts — V × R framing
Build vertical softwareVSaaS Playbook — 5P framework
Understand the tech stackPlatform — Infrastructure
Understand the business modelVertical Integration — Strategy

The Thesis

EraModelWho Captures Value
2000sSaaSHorizontal platforms
2010sVSaaSVertical specialists
2020sRaaSOutcome guarantors

The pattern: Software goes to zero. Data is oil. Outcomes are gold.


Context

  • Industries — Other verticals
  • DePIN — Physical infrastructure layer
  • Work — Human/AI activity splits

Questions

If software goes to zero and outcomes are gold, what does a software business need to own to avoid becoming a commodity utility?

  • The era table runs SaaS → VSaaS → RaaS — which industries are still in the SaaS era and therefore ripe for VSaaS specialization, and which have already been through it?
  • "Data is oil" is the stated pattern — but oil has diminishing value after extraction while data compounds with each query; does that make data moats more durable or more fragile than they appear?
  • RaaS means "outcome guarantors" — what liability and measurement infrastructure needs to exist before a software business can credibly guarantee outcomes rather than just features?