Compare consequence and correct the method

Candidate teaching projection; contextual recipe unproved. The JTBD Ledger keeps this route as a gap until a contextual owner accepts the method and retains decision evidence.

Workflow family: Analytics & Feedback.

Outcome

The beneficiary and method owner receive an evidence-bounded decision to continue, change, pause, or stop, plus the owner and input that must change.

Use When

Trigger this job at the frozen review point, after a stop, or when a material consequence arrives. The outcome owner controls interpretation, accepted trade- offs, retention, correction, further tests, and stop.

Inputs

Bring the original beneficiary and value standard, prediction and confidence, baseline, method revision, mandate, output, observed consequence with provenance, protected constraints, confounders, effort and cost, and review rule.

Recipe

1. Freeze the original prediction, standard, method revision, and decision rule.
2. Separate delivered output from observed beneficiary consequence.
3. Compare prediction with observation; name magnitude, timing, uncertainty, confounders, and protected-constraint effects.
4. Identify which value assumption, belief, control, or method step explains variance.
5. Let the accountable owner choose continue, change one input, pause, or stop.

Human and AI Control

An assistant may organise records, calculate variance, and surface alternatives. It may not invent missing outcomes, move the baseline, choose values, excuse a constraint breach, or authorise another run. Stop for missing provenance, incomparable measures, material confounding, harm, or absent decision authority.

Output and Handoff

Return expectation, observation, variance, confidence, costs, constraint effects, decision, correction, owner, and next review. Send a method correction to the page that taught the job; send authority correction to authorise bounded work.

Evidence and Stop

Retain original and observed records without silently rewriting either. Check that another reader can reproduce the comparison and distinguish output from outcome. Stop the claim when beneficiary evidence is absent, confounded, or below the frozen standard. A completed review does not prove the method improved.

Next

Change one decision-relevant input, state the next prediction and review point, and run again only with fresh authority. Stop permanently when protected costs outweigh the expected benefit or no safe discriminating test remains.