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Potential

Potential is the risk/reward lens. It asks what the problem could become if solved, what could go wrong, and what capability would need to grow for the reward to be real.

Your potential is limited by your capability to change perspective and perceive unseen opportunities.

All we are is all we can conceive.

tip

Love is seeing potential in others and helping them move towards it - Viktor Frankl

Decision Ladder

Potential comes after Problems and before Priorities.

LayerOwnsQuestion
ProblemsGood vs badIs this the right gap to solve?
PotentialRisk vs rewardWhat upside opens, and what downside must be protected?
PrioritiesWhen and whyShould this win scarce attention now?
PlansHow and whoWhat bridge gets built, and which agents of change carry it?

Potential is not optimism. It is the honest spread between possible reward and possible loss. The work is to see more upside without going blind to risk.

Context

  • Fulfilment: Figure out what you are here to do?
  • Purpose: Set a clear vision and mission
  • Science: Use science to create technology
  • Technology: Use technology to engineer better systems
  • Habits: Use systems to live better practices
  • Startups: Team up with like-minds fill a gap in the market by fulfilling a need
  • Coach: Helping someone else is the best way to help yourself

Backcasting

Start with the end in mind. Working backward from a desired future state to visualise the path and determine what decisions are needed to get there is a powerful technique.

Picturing the destination makes the path clearer. Pre-mortems also help by projecting forward to envision how to overcome potential obstacles.

Backcasting

Questions

What is the most important question you could ask yourself to make progress?

  • Potential is bounded by what you can conceive — what is currently outside your value system's conception of what's possible?
  • When you picture the destination clearly, which decision on the path becomes obvious that wasn't before?
  • What's the difference between potential you can develop and potential you're waiting to be given?