AI Problems
The AI problem isn't alignment — it's that humans aren't wired to engage with what's coming
The AI problem isn't alignment — it's that humans aren't wired to engage with what's coming
The rate you can earn on an account over a year and it includes compound gains.
Thinking Fast and Slow How well do you know your cognitive biases?
Business Intelligence
Who owns your data — and what happens when you need to leave?
The brain is a prediction machine. Uncertainty is expensive.
What happens to the decisions you never wrote down?
System one vs system two thinking.
How AI agents access decision context - the memory layer that makes agents useful
What is the shortest route to viable value?
The art of winning.
Good dashboards tell a story that helps to make the right decisions at the right time.
Data is the most Valuable Asset.
Proprietary domain expertise data provides a critical competitive advantage in the age of AI.
A process or set of rules to be followed in calculations or other problem-solving operations.
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Common frameworks used to assist the decision making process.
Have you written down the most important decisions you need to act on?
The OODA loop is a decision-making model developed by United States Air Force Colonel John Boyd. It stands for Observe, Orient, Decide, and Act, representing a cyclical process for making rapid and effective decisions in dynamic, competitive environments.
Good decisions follow good questions that clearly define the real problem
Everyone is wrong about something at some point in time.
Intelligence is not scarce — locked-up intelligence is the crisis, and open-source AI is the key.
Fear gets a person moving. Dreams give them direction. Together, they build purpose.
Build the discipline to see the future before others do
The highest priority is to satisfy the customer through early and continuous delivery of software that creates value.
What are the best games to play for gaining skills that improve capability to predict the future?
Every strategic decision is a game — the outcome depends not just on what you do, but on what others do simultaneously.
Diagrams | Matrices | Thinkers
Hacker Laws for coders.
Why do we value immediate rewards more than long-term rewards?
Why do we place disproportionately high value on things we helped to create?
Show me the incentive and I will show you the outcome — Charlie Munger
Information (Signal) is only as good as your capability to act on insights with maximum effectiveness.
How would you beat yourself?
What if the fastest path forward is to figure out what guarantees failure — and walk the other way?
Diagrams | Matrices | Thinkers
Cashflow is king.
Run minimum cost experiments on reversible decisions, and let the data compound.
You prompt the machine. The mantra prompts you.
How many lifetimes are wasted every minute across the globe in pointless meetings?
Predictable outcomes builds better teams than random talent.
What are you giving up by choosing this path?
Persuasion is the practice that builds credibility - understanding what moves people to act
Build a pitch deck with Next.js and Shadcn
What is the point of playing The Game?
Diagrams | Matrices | Thinkers
Test predictions with real stakes
Track and validate predictions systematically
The Prompt
Priorities is the perceive that builds commitment - choosing what deserves your finite attention
Update beliefs systematically to size bets correctly
The hardest problem is identifying what the most important problem to focus on is.
Problem identification is the highest-leverage skill in the game
What patterns in human behavior have held across all cultures and all time?
Master the meta-capability of asking the right question at the right time
What can you adopt from Ray Dalio's principles to make better decisions?
Reciprocity bias describes the impulse to reciprocate actions others have done towards us. The desire to return favours, pay back debts and treat others well could have been a decisive evolutionary advantage for humans as it engenders cooperation. However, reciprocity bias can also work in reverse — in response to unfriendly actions, people will deliver back other unfriendly actions!
The chance that your investment outcome will be a substantial loss of potential energy.
The best teams adapt the fastest to the referee and playing conditions. Given similar physical attributes, the team that can coordinate complimentary talents to execute the best decisions fastest will win the moments that lead to winning the game on a fair playing field.
What ideas from rugby could be used for better business?
What does wisdom look like when it meets context?
A process or set of rules to be followed in calculations or other problem-solving operations.
What are the key principles for architecting systems that enable innovation and are performant?
What positions does every tech stack need to fill?
Software's job is to help people solve problems that create real world value.
How do you Extract Maximal Value from a Network of Interconnected Suppliers and Customers?
Testing infrastructure investment is an explicit cost-benefit algorithm, not a matter of intuition.
What must you leave behind to become who you're becoming?
Why does slowing down at the right moments produce faster, better execution?
Masterclass in decision making and coaching others.
TAM calculation is not just for investors—it should inform product roadmap decisions and go-to-market strategies while providing realistic growth projections.
Across genders and generations, touch rugby is a sport open to everyone to get fit through play, learning new skills and make strong connections while having fun.
Develop mantras that enable better decision taking under pressure.
Which chain for which job? The answer depends on what you're proving, who you're serving, and what you're willing to pay for consensus.
How do you create something entirely new instead of copying what already exists?