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Convictions

What do you believe to be true? What do know to be true?

You cannot borrow conviction, it must earned. Constantly improve systems to validate convictions](/docs/commerce/crypto/crypto-assets/intent-and-interop-tokens/chainlink-asset) to optimize [positioning to close down threats and maximize opportunities. Checklist for checking convictions before committing bets to decisions:

Verifiable Truths​

What verifiable truths underpin your convictions?

  • The question is always more important than the answer.
  • Money is a proxy for value, valuable things directly add to a sense of fulfilment in the here and now.
  • Everyone has a deep need to feel their existence is of value and is appreciated.
  • Trusted connections are the most valuable thing in the world to build.
  • Life is a coordination game: nothing in this world feels as good as success as a team.
  • When you form a great team even if you fail in the goal, you will still win in the long run.
  • Breakthroughs come where differences of opinion collide
  • AI must have decentralized ownership to be worthy of trust.
  • Games build social glue
  • AI and Crypto are changing marketing
  • Community building marketing is essential to crypto
  • The flow of progress is dependent on social glue
  • Life time in flow is the most valuable metric
  • Games are taking over the world, Crypto and AI are taking over games
  • The future is already here it just is not evenly distributed
  • Most important area for exploration is consciousness (inner space).
  • If you spend your time with good people you are doing well.
  • Your culture is most valuable asset

Use the scientific method to reliably convert beliefs into quantifiable outcomes

Intangibles​

Things you believe to be true.

Investing​

  • Crypto is the future of investing,
  • Culture is king in Crypto
  • Every brand/network state will be an ecosystem abstracted above blockchain layers
  • Businesses/Protocols are consequences of collaborative decision-making
  • Valuable data is life-blood of strong decision-making
  • Follow the talent, great people make the difference

Business​

The intersection of AI and Blockchain is where the greatest value unlocks will occur.

  • Product engineering will eat marketing.
  • Service and growth is customised.
  • Better to be great than big.

Sales and Marketing​

  • In a world where anyone can be the world's best digital marketer, nobody is.

Software​

AI is making SaaS apps](/docs/platform/sass-toolkit/sass-app-decisions) a commodity where everyone and anyone can compete, so entering a race to the bottom on pricing. Better to use software to operate with maximum effectiveness in [real world verticals.

  • The End of Programming is near
  • Anyone can build any software product.
  • Collecting and processing trusted proprietary data is where the value lies.
  • For a piece of information to be valuable it needs to be actionable.
  • Any protocol is only going to be valuable as it's proprietary data.

Technology​

  • The greatest frontier for fruitful exploration is inner space.
  • To be effective with AI you need to have succinct breadth and depth of domain of expertise to prompt effectively.
  • Currently we are in the gap between prompting AI and AI prompting us.

Review Checklist​

  • Have I considered alternative viewpoints?
  • Am I falling prey to any cognitive biases?
  • Have I sought out disconfirming evidence?
  • Am I thinking probabilistically rather than in absolutes?
  • Have I discussed this decision with others and considered their feedback?
  • Am I basing my decision on solid evidence rather than emotions or intuition?
  • Have I considered the potential long-term consequences?
  • Am I aware of the limitations of my knowledge and predictions?
  • Have I accounted for the possibility of rare, high-impact events?
  • Am I prepared to update my beliefs if new information becomes available?
  • Have I considered the opportunity costs of this decision?
  • Am I clear about my goals and how this decision aligns with them?
  • Have I given myself enough time to think through this decision thoroughly?
  • Am I aware of any external pressures influencing my decision?
  • Have I considered the reversibility of this decision and potential exit strategies?

Analyse trends to forecast the future.

  • Use trends to shape predictions
  • Use predictions to prepare opportunities
  • Create connections leverage growth