Pipeline Nowcast

Are we on track, drifting, or in trouble — and which signal is telling you?

• Prompt Deck
• Flow Diagrams
• Engineering Spec

Context​

• Sales CRM & RFP — Pipeline + activity signals flow in
• Agent Platform — Agent velocity from Convex event stream
• Commissioning Dashboard — L-level progress this algorithm reads
• ETL Data Tool — Upstream data readiness
• Scoreboard — Where nowcast output surfaces

Questions​

What happens when the algorithm disagrees with your gut?

• If the composite score says "on track" but one signal is critical, is the weighting wrong or is the signal unimportant?
• At what signal coverage does confidence become actionable — and what do you do below that threshold?
• When nowcast catches drift 3 days early, what process fires that wouldn't have fired otherwise?