Agent & Instrument Diagram
Agents
| Agent | Role | Force Applied |
|---|---|---|
| Nowcast Engine | Orchestrates signal collection, normalization, composition | Computation |
| Signal Collectors (5x) | Extract raw measurements from each source | Data extraction |
| Dream Team | Sets forecast baselines, validates classifications | Judgment |
Instruments
| Instrument | Measures | Verifies |
|---|---|---|
| Pipeline Gauge (PG01) | Weighted pipeline vs target coverage | Deal amounts x probability vs 3x target |
| Activity Meter (AM01) | Activity count/week per deal | Velocity against 2/deal/week target |
| Agent Tachometer (AT01) | Plans completed, blockers open | Throughput from Convex event stream |
| Commission Level (CL01) | Feature L-level vs forecast | Weighted capability readiness |
| Prediction Calibrator (PC01) | Accuracy score vs confidence | Calibration of prediction model |
Feedback Loop
Signal Sources → Collectors → Normalization → Decay → Composition → Classification
↑ |
| ↓
└──── Recommendations (actions + signals needing attention) ────────┘
Loop type: VVFL (Validated Virtuous Feedback Loop)
- Verify: Each signal normalized to 0-1, variance computed against forecast
- Validate: Composite score classified against thresholds (0.7 on_track, 0.4 warning)
- Feedback: topRisk and signalsNeedingAttention route attention to highest-variance signal
- Loop: Recommendations inform next action, which changes signals, which changes the next nowcast
Signal Flow
agent_profile_deals ──────→ PG01 ─┐
agent_profile_activities ─→ AM01 ─┤
Convex agentMessages ─────→ AT01 ─┼→ Nowcast Engine → NowcastResult
metric_measurements ──────→ CL01 ─┤ (normalize, decay, compose)
priority_predictions ─────→ PC01 ─┘