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Agriculture Industry

Agriculture has massive potential to leverage AI and interconnected technology to fuel efficiency and innovative growth.

Tomorrow's engineers must have cross discipline expertise; time spent learning to code should instead be invested in expertise in industries such as farming, biology, manufacturing and education - Jensen Huang

Activities

What the key operational processes are unique to this industry?

Problems

What the primary problems to be solved?

Financial and Economic

  1. Declining net farm income - Expected to decrease by 8% in 2024 compared to 2023 levels.
  2. High input costs - While increasing at a slower rate, costs for fuel, fertilizers, seeds, etc. remain elevated.
  3. Rising interest rates - Making it more difficult and expensive for farmers to access credit and loans.
  4. Market volatility - Unpredictable commodity prices and trade disruptions.
  5. Limited access to capital - Especially for small farms and young farmers. There's an estimated $62 billion financing gap for farmers.

Business Model

  1. Technological adoption - Need to invest in new technologies while managing costs, especially challenging for smallholder farmers.
  2. Labour shortages - Difficulty finding skilled farm workers, especially during peak seasons.
  3. Sustainability pressures - Transitioning to more environmentally friendly practices while maintaining profitability.
  4. Supply chain disruptions - Affecting both input procurement and product distribution.
  5. Changing consumer preferences - Shifting demand for certain products (e.g. alternative proteins, organic produce).

Personal and Operational

  1. Succession planning - Many farms lack clear plans for transitioning to the next generation.
  2. Mental health and stress - High stress levels due to financial pressures and unpredictable factors.
  3. Work-life balance - Long hours and difficulty taking time off, especially for smaller operations.
  4. Regulatory compliance - Keeping up with changing regulations and paperwork requirements.
  5. Climate change adaptation - Dealing with more frequent extreme weather events and changing growing conditions.

Environmental and Resource

  1. Water scarcity - Depleting groundwater levels and increased competition for water resources.
  2. Soil health degradation - Loss of soil fertility due to intensive farming practices.
  3. Pest and disease resistance - Increasing resistance to pesticides and herbicides.
  4. Biodiversity loss - Pressure to maintain biodiversity while increasing production.

Policy and Market

  1. Farm bill uncertainty - Delays in passing a new farm bill, creating policy uncertainty.
  2. International trade tensions - Affecting export markets and prices.
  3. Consolidation in the industry - Increasing market power of large agribusinesses and retailers.
  4. Public perception - Managing public image and addressing concerns about farming practices.

AgTech

How could tokenization and DePIN tech impact the agriculture industry?

  1. Precision agriculture and smart farming:
    • Using IoT sensors, drones, and data analytics to monitor crop health, soil conditions, weather patterns etc. This allows for more precise and efficient use of resources like water, fertilizer and pesticides.
    • Smart irrigation systems that optimize water usage based on real-time soil moisture data.
    • Automated farm equipment and robotics to reduce labour needs and increase efficiency.
  2. Digital agriculture and data-driven decision making:
    • Farm management software and mobile apps to track operations, finances, inventory etc.
    • Big data analytics to provide insights on optimal planting times, crop rotations, yield predictions etc.
    • Digital marketplaces connecting farmers directly to buyers.
  3. Sustainable and regenerative agriculture tech:
    • Technologies to reduce environmental impact like precision fertilizer application.
    • Tools to measure and improve soil health and carbon sequestration.
    • Alternative protein and vertical farming technologies to increase food production sustainability.
  4. Biotechnology and crop science:
    • Developing more resilient and higher-yielding crop varieties through genetic engineering.
    • Biological pest control solutions to reduce chemical pesticide use.
  5. Supply chain and logistics optimization:
    • Blockchain and IoT for food traceability and quality control.
    • AI-powered demand forecasting and inventory management.
  6. Financial technology for farmers:
    • Mobile banking and microfinance solutions for smallholder farmers.
    • Crop insurance and risk management tools leveraging satellite imagery and weather data.
  7. Climate tech for agriculture:
    • Weather forecasting and climate modelling tools to help farmers adapt to changing conditions.
    • Technologies to reduce methane emissions from livestock.
  8. Farm automation and robotics:
    • Autonomous tractors and harvesters to address labour shortages.
    • Robotic systems for tasks like weeding, pruning, and harvesting.
  9. Remote sensing and monitoring:
    • Satellite and drone imagery for crop health assessment and yield estimation.
    • IoT sensors for livestock health monitoring and management.

The key is integrating technologies to create holistic solutions that address multiple challenges simultaneously to increase productivity and profitability while also improving sustainability and resilience.

Purchasing Farmland

Approach farmland purchases carefully, do extensive research, and seek expert guidance given the complexities and long-term nature of the investment. Purchasing checklist:

  1. Do thorough research and due diligence before purchasing. Consider factors like:
    • Soil quality and nutrients
    • Water access and rights
    • Topography and suitability for intended crops/uses
    • Existing infrastructure and amenities
    • Environmental issues or restrictions
    • Access to markets and transportation
  2. Be clear about your intended use for the land and make sure it aligns with any zoning, deed restrictions, or regulations.
  3. Understand the full costs involved, including bringing utilities to the property if needed.
  4. Check the title carefully, especially for older properties that may have complex ownership histories.
  5. Consider factors that could affect future value, like development potential or proximity to urban areas.
  6. Be aware of succession planning issues, especially when buying from older farmers without clear heirs.
  7. Look into agricultural exemptions or other tax benefits that may apply.
  8. Consider working with experienced farm management professionals or advisors to help evaluate properties.
  9. Be patient and don't rush into a purchase - farmland is a long-term investment.
  10. Understand that farmland values can be influenced by many external factors like interest rates, commodity prices, and regulations. The market may be cooling after recent highs.
  11. For investors, farmland can provide portfolio diversification, inflation hedging, and steady income - but requires specialized knowledge to manage successfully.
  12. Look into fractional ownership options through companies like AcreTrader if you want exposure to farmland without buying an entire property.
  13. Contiguous land is often more valuable than scattered parcels.
    • Premium value: Farmers are often willing to pay a significant premium for land that is adjacent to their existing property.
    • Operational efficiency: Contiguous land improves operational efficiency for farmers, making it easier to use equipment like combines and harvesters across a larger, uninterrupted area.
    • Rarity of opportunity: The chance to buy adjacent land might only come once in a farmer's lifetime, which increases its perceived value.
    • Competitive bidding: When farmland becomes available, there are typically two types of bidders: neighbouring farmers looking to expand their contiguous acreage, and institutional investors like pension funds.
    • Impact on land values: The desire for contiguous land can drive up prices in certain areas as farmers compete to expand their operations with adjacent properties.
    • Long-term investment: Contiguous land is often seen as a valuable long-term investment, both for operational benefits and potential appreciation over time.

These factors significantly influence farmland markets and prices, making contiguous land a highly sought-after asset in the agricultural industry.

Trend: Who is buying land and why?

Marketing

Deeply understand your target audience's needs and consistently deliver specialized, high-value content that directly impacts their business decisions to build a trusted brand in the agricultural newsletter space.

Strategies

Advice to Farmers:

  • Provide highly specialized, valuable information to a niche audience in the agricultural industry.
  • Deliver expert insights that help farmers, investors, and traders make profitable decisions and manage risks.

Tourism and Direct Supply:

Content Requirements

  • Cover market trends, policy updates, weather impacts, and other factors affecting farming and agriculture.
  • Provides analysis and commentary to help people understand complex dynamics in the agricultural industry.

Gathering Insights

  • Cultivate a wide network of contacts and information sources within the industry to stay on top of trends and developments.
  • Live the experience to understand and empathise with the pain points of farmers and investors.
  • Seek experience of others in the agricultural industry to provide expert analysis.
  • Synthesize data from various agricultural, financial, and policy sources to provide a comprehensive view.

Growth Strategy

  • Direct marketing and word-of-mouth within the agricultural community.
  • Leverage existing reputation and network in the industry.
  • The high-value, specialized content justifies a premium subscription rate.
  • Delivering consistent value to a specific niche
  • Earn loyalty and trust through deep integrity

Earning Trust

  1. Specialized Expertise: Provide insights not easily found elsewhere.
  2. Play Long-Term Games: Build credibility over time.
  3. Valuable Information: Helps people make profitable decisions, reinforcing trust.
  4. Consistency: Publish consistently to demonstrate reliability.
  5. Direct Communication: Kevin seems to write much of the content himself, creating a personal connection with readers.
  6. Niche Focus: Cater to a subject where you have positioned yourself as an authority in that space.

Projects

AG Tech Providers