Investing
Every decision or indecision, made consciously or not, is an investment in your future.
The stories we believe influence how we interpret reality and make progress a self-fulfilling prophecy.
Intention
Evolve a framework that provides a consistent approach for forming investment narratives and modelling anticipated rewards versus risks for a given time horizon by understanding underlying jobs to be done at a deeper level.
- Money and Value
- Predictions
- Thesis
If you have an inkling you need to pay attention to something, place a small bet so that you are incentivised to evolve your investment thesis.
Thesis
Feedback Loops shape our destiny. Smart Agents will run the world, starting with investing.
- Technology is the future, investing is predicting the future
- Memes influence engagement, protocols run the World.
- Truth and Trust are essential for building value, if it's not onchain it won't be trusted.
- Culture is any organisation's greatest asset.
- Data is the new oil.
Assets and Narratives
Everything of value will be exchanged onchain.
Crypto represents a new technology for more effectively carrying, transferring, and quantifying units-of-account of perceived value of ideas and things.
| Value Abstraction | Position | EVM | SVM | MVM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agent Tokens and Intents | Base | |||
| Memecoins | - | |||
| Games and Avatars | - | |||
| Loyalty | - | |||
| DeFi and Stablecoins | Uniswap | |||
| Governance | - | |||
| Identity and Credibility | - | |||
| Chains and Coins | ETH | SOL | SUI | |
| Decentralized Networks of Physical Assets | - | |||
| Tokenized Assets, Equipment and Hardware | - | |||
| Real Estate and Property Rights | - |
All Financial Assets are an abstraction of Intangible and Tangible ideas of perceived value
Current narratives that are capturing attention to attract liquidity.
Smart Agents
Smart Agent Meme Machines leverage Memecoin Tokenomics to capture attention, shape culture, build loyalty, convert into utility.
Modular vs Integrated
Tokenization
Layer One Innovation
New Layer One Protocols
DePIN
DePIN & Decentralized AI.
Investors
Concepts
Build systems to invest your time and energy wisely by balancing the need to invest in the moment versus stories for the future.
- Tokenization of Value
- Crypto Incentives & Culture
- Signals & Triggers
- Practices & Habits
- DeFi Concepts
Better systems develop better people that make better decisions to drive meaningful progress.
Capabilities
Good Judgement: Value System, Belief System, Control System
- Systems Thinking: Learn more, act decisively faster
- Capturing Information
- Synthesizing Insights
- Extracting Truths
- Extrapolating Probabilities
- Listening
- Connecting
- Storytelling
- Decision Journal: Learn from your process not results.
- Tech Stack Decisions: How do maintain pace with the rate of change?
Decision Loop Mastery
Evolve a protocols for capturing chain of thought for improving investment decisions.
- Intent and Purpose:
- Don't waste your time climbing the wrong mountain.
- Why are you here?
- What is purpose of investing?
- What outcomes would define success?
- Value System:
- What is valuable?
- Why is it valuable?
- How is it created?
- How, where is it stored?
- How does it change state?
- Who, what influences changes of state?
- Belief System
- What are immutable truths?
- How do you recognise the truth?
- Who and what can be trusted?
- What are your predictions for the future?
- What is time horizon vs conviction?
- Control System
- What can you control?
- What do you need to measure?
- What are the best tools for leverage?
- Timing and Positioning
- Cycles, Business, Macro
- Secular Trends
- Token unlocks
- Evolve
- What can you do better?
- What questions should you be asking?
- What could go wrong?
- What could go right?
- What is the end-game?
Investing Capabilities
What capabilities are required to make better investment decisions?
- Investment Research
- Fraud Detection
- Portfolio Analysis
- Portfolio Valuation
- Exposure Modelling
- Risk Modelling
Attachments
Links
What is the most important question you could ask yourself to make progress?