Skip to main content

Solar Performance

What to measure. Traditional metrics vs protocol-era metrics.

Performance Categories

CategoryWhat It MeasuresTraditionalProtocol-Era
SystemGeneration efficiencyNameplate vs actualOn-chain verified yield
FinancialReturn on investmentIRR, payback periodToken yields, LCOE
OperationalEfficiencyO&M costsProtocol automation %
CommunityFlourishingN/AOperator distribution, GCC issuance

System Metrics

Yield Performance

MetricTraditionalProtocolWhy Better
Actual vs PredictedEngineering modelsIoT + satellite verificationReal-time accuracy
Performance RatioAnnual calculationContinuous monitoringFaster diagnosis
Specific YieldEstimatedVerified on-chainTrustless

Quality

MetricTargetDiagnosis If Below
Actual vs Predicted Yield±5%Design error or equipment issue
Performance Ratio>80%Shading, soiling, or degradation
System Availability>99%O&M or inverter problems
Specific Yield1,200-2,000 kWh/kWpLocation or orientation issue

Financial Metrics

Traditional Solar

MetricBenchmarkWhat It Shows
LCOE$0.02-0.15/kWhCost competitiveness
IRR8-15%Investment return
Payback Period5-10 yearsTime to break even
Capex/kW$800-2,500Installation efficiency

DePIN Protocol

MetricGlow BenchmarkWhat It Shows
Protocol Revenue$25M ARRSustainability
Growth Rate80% MoM (beta)Traction
Capital Multiplier20x recursiveCapital efficiency
Network Size70 farmsScale
Claim Legitimacy>85% targetTrust
CO2 Avoided300K tonnes lifetimeImpact

Transformation

TraditionalProtocol-EraShift
IRRToken yield + GCC valueMultiple value streams
Capex/kWProtocol subsidy leverageCommunity financing
Payback periodToken-accelerated returnsFaster economics
O&M marginProtocol automationLower operational burden

Operational Metrics

MetricTraditionalProtocolImprovement
Verification cost5-10% of revenueNear-zero90%+ reduction
Carbon credit fees30%+<5% (GCC)80%+ reduction
Settlement timeMonthly/quarterlyInstant99%+ faster
Data transparencyPeriodic reportsReal-time on-chainFull visibility

Community Metrics (Flourishing)

New metrics for community-owned solar networks:

MetricWhat It MeasuresTarget
Farm operator countParticipation breadthGrowing
Geographic distributionCoverage equityMultiple countries
Token holder concentrationOwnership equity<0.5 Gini coefficient
Additionality rateNew vs existing capacity100% new construction
Local employmentCommunity benefitGrowing

Opportunity Assessment

Scoring Dimensions

DimensionWeightSolar ScoreEvidence
Market Attractiveness20%8.0$300B+ market, 20%+ CAGR
Technology Disruption20%7.5Late adoption, Glow model proven
VVFL Alignment25%7.0Loop works, AI optimization gap
Competitive Position20%6.5First-mover advantage
Timing Risk15%6.5IRA tailwinds, interconnection backlogs

Aggregate: 7.1/10 — Monitor Closely

Opportunity Matrix

OpportunityScoreTimingKey Risk
DePIN solar farms7.5NowInterconnection delays
Geographic arbitrage8.0NowRegulatory variance
Tokenized carbon credits7.0NowMarket acceptance
AI dispatch optimization7.51-2 yearsNo proven player
Virtual power plants6.52-3 yearsGrid integration

Watch Signals

SignalBullishBearish
Glow network growth>100 farmsStagnates
GCC adoptionMajor buyersLimited demand
IRA policyExtendedReversed
Interconnection reformStreamlinedStatus quo
AI optimizationBreakout playerNo traction

Principles → Performance Mapping

PrincipleWhat to Measure
Sun angle determines yieldSpecific yield, capacity factor
Degradation is inevitableYear-over-year decline rate
Inverter efficiency caps outputPerformance ratio, clipping
Grid connection is bottleneckQueue time, curtailment rate
LCOE is the honest metricLevelized cost across portfolio
Verification creates valueClaim legitimacy, GCC issuance

Context