Payment Rails
What happens when the gap between payment intent and settlement finality collapses to zero?
The same Three Flows architecture governs how payments settle:
INTENT → ROUTE → INFRASTRUCTURE → SETTLE → FEEDBACK
The Shift
| From | To |
|---|---|
| 5-day correspondent hops | Sub-second finality |
| Hidden FX spreads (2-4%) | Transparent on-chain fees |
| Card networks as gatekeepers | Programmable settlement |
| Human-initiated transactions | Agent-initiated transactions |
| Monthly billing cycles | Real-time micropayments |
Settlement Layers
| Layer | Technology | Speed | Cost | Best For |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traditional | Correspondent banks | 3-5 days | 1-3% | Legacy B2B |
| Card networks | Visa, Mastercard | 1-3 days | 1-2% | Consumer checkout |
| Modern stablecoin | Ethereum | ~12 min | $5-50 | High-value, low-frequency |
| Fast stablecoin | Solana | ~400ms | $0.01-0.25 | Consumer, DeFi |
| Machine-tempo | Sui | ~390ms + PTB batching | <$0.01 | Agent commerce, DePIN |
Agent Commerce Protocols
Three protocol families competing to become the default rails for agent transactions:
| Protocol | Settlement | Who |
|---|---|---|
| ACP | Card rails via Stripe | OpenAI + Stripe |
| AP2 | Multi-rail (card + stablecoin) | Google, with Sui as launch partner |
| x402 | Stablecoin on-chain | Coinbase + Google + Ethereum Foundation |
See Agent Commerce for the full standards war.
Platform Providers
| Provider | Role | Connection |
|---|---|---|
| Stripe | Payment processing, ACP co-author, Bridge acquisition | CEO on Meta board. Bridge received OCC national trust charter. |
| Coinbase | x402 protocol, Base L2, crypto on/off-ramp | Commerce SDK for agent-native payments |
| Shopify | UCP co-developer with Google | Merchant-side agent commerce |
The ABCD Stack
Payment rails operate across the full ABCD stack:
| Layer | Function in Payments |
|---|---|
| AI | Route optimization, fraud detection, agent intent |
| Blockchain | Settlement, proof, immutable receipts |
| Crypto | Incentive alignment, tokenized coordination |
| DePIN | Physical infrastructure settlement (sensors, devices, energy) |
Context
- Agent Commerce — The standards war for agent transactions
- Stablecoins — The settlement instrument
- Sui — Sub-second settlement at machine tempo
- Three Flows — Messages, money, data: same architecture
- Payments Industry — $25T B2B cross-border analysis
- Phygital Beings — Devices and agents as economic actors