Two Perspectives
Read the horizon to understand the wind. Plot the voyage to sail through it. The gap between where the world goes and where we are is the work.
What we read
The Horizon
Wind and currents we don't control. Macro predictions across six domains with probabilities, base rates, and falsifying conditions.
9
Predictions
5
Anchors
61%
Avg Probability
AI TrajectoryCrypto & DePINWork TransformationHealthspanGeopoliticsEducation
What we control
The Voyage
Our chart. Platform milestones, venture targets, and cash flow projections. Each waypoint links to priorities, ventures, and features.
9
Waypoints
19%
Coverage
$0
Revenue
1 underway1 blocked45/234 features
The Gap
The horizon says AI agents handle 40% of knowledge work by 2028. Our feature matrix is at 19% coverage with $0 revenue. The distance between those two numbers is the urgency.
Questions
Which horizon prediction, if wrong, would change your voyage the most?
- If the horizon is right about agentic commerce but wrong about the timeline, do your waypoints still work?
- What's the smallest number of waypoints that would make the voyage worthwhile — even if half the horizon predictions fail?