Predictions
Can you engineer systems that accurately predict the future?
Prediction | Conviction | Time Horizon | Signs |
---|---|---|---|
AI and DePin Unixification of the Physical World | |||
Inner Space will be the most important frontier for humans to explore | |||
AI intents will dominate trading and investment fundraising | |||
Re-education demand for 30 years and older | |||
In the immediate future AI will replace many more jobs that it creates | |||
Mental health issues: People left searching for security and meaning. | |||
The future of work is fluid, people that can adapt to chaos will thrive. | |||
AI will expose hierarchies of inefficiency | |||
Scams Identity and Privacy | |||
Customisation of Longevity through Health Optimisation |
Meta
- Prediction
- Time Frame
- Conviction
- Positioning
- Allocation
AI Impact
- AI will lead to flatter organizational structures with fewer managers.
- People will need to become more multidisciplinary as AI takes over some specialized roles.
- Rise of gig economy with quality real world experiences priced at premium.
- People will need to become more multidisciplinary as AI takes over some specialized roles.
- Education will be transformed by AI teachers reaching millions globally.
AI Limitations
- AI still struggles to fully capture individual writing voices and styles.
- Open-source efforts by large tech companies may pose challenges for AI startups.
- There are concerns about job displacement as AI becomes more capable, particularly for white-collar jobs.
Engineer positive collisions that make meetings matter
Inhouse and Onshore
- Data (inference) is competitor advantage
- Make manufacturing great again
- Custom software to own data
Smart Agents
Hyperstition: Humans will be moist robots in the hands of superior intelligence, agents powers of persuasion will make predictions self-fulfilling prophecies.
Soon there will be billions of niche Crypto Agents that work in teams to form autonomous positive feedback loops that fuel exponential growth leaving humans to focus on meaning, culture, community and what it means to have soul.
We are moving to the internet of intent where every person will have a team of personalized AI agents managing exchange of value onchain while customizing phygital experiences to enable the exploration of potential.
Trad SaaS is Dead
AI coding will be more about directing agents through writing functional specifications.
Context
- Founder/CEO: Run to where the ball is going to be
- Probability: Expectations of outcomes
- Investing: Cultivating narratives and sizing bets
- Perspective: Reality leaves a lot to the imagination
- First Principles: Real world engineering