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Investment Metrics

What financial instruments tell you whether the factory is compounding or burning?

Investing

Fundamental ratios for evaluating whether capital is being deployed effectively.

MetricTargetBenchmark Source
ROE: 5-year Avg.>= 17%
Return on Invested Capital: 5-year Avg.>= 17%
Pre-tax profit Margin: 5-year Avg.>= 1.2
Industry Avg. Pretax Margin: 5-year Avg
Price/cash flow ratio<= 0.8Industry Average price/cash flow ratio
Price/cash flow ratio>= 0.1
Debt to Equity Ratio<= 0.8Industry Average Debt to Equity Ratio
Income per employee>= 1.1Industry Average Income per employee

Operational Metrics

Unit economics that determine whether growth creates or destroys value.

MetricFormulaBenchmarkWhat It Reveals
Gross Margin(Revenue - COGS) / Revenue70%+ for SaaSWhether delivery costs leave room for growth investment
Net Present ValueSum of discounted future cash flows - initial investmentNPV > 0Whether a project creates value above the cost of capital
Capital EfficiencyRevenue / Total Capital Raised1.0+ at scaleHow much revenue each dollar of funding generates
Burn MultipleNet Burn / Net New ARRUnder 2x (good), under 1x (great)Cost of each dollar of new revenue — source
Hype RatioCapital Raised / ARRUnder 5xWhether valuation is grounded in revenue or narrative

Context

  • SaaS Metrics — Revenue engine metrics: ARR, churn, LTV/CAC
  • Reality — The instrument panel these metrics feed
  • Pricing — The market's instrument: price signals whether reality matches strategy
  • Incentive Engineering — Show me the incentive, I'll show you the outcome

Questions

When gross margin is 70% but burn multiple is 3x, which instrument do you trust — the one that says the engine works or the one that says it's too expensive to run?

  • What's the minimum set of financial instruments a pre-revenue venture needs — and at what stage does each one activate?
  • If NPV requires forecasting future cash flows, how do you discount honestly when the business model is unproven?
  • When does a high hype ratio signal conviction versus delusion?