AI Tech Predictions
From Greg Isenberg.
| Point | Prediction Description | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ChatGPT 4o image generation will birth 1000+ vertical software businesses valued at $1M-$100M/year. | Not specified |
| 2 | Creators' back catalogs will be weaponized into competition due to AI, akin to the "mp3 Napster era." | Not specified |
| 3 | Every calendar, inbox, and CRM will be rebuilt from scratch, fully rethought with AI. | By 2028 |
| 4 | AI systems managing human workers will restructure labor markets more significantly than the Industrial Revolution. | Not specified |
| 6 | AI will turn service businesses into product businesses with service margins, creating new unicorns. | Not specified |
| 10 | Most customer support, including complex multi-step resolutions, will be automated. | By 2028 |
| 12 | An AI backlash will arise from people realizing their digital identities are being used as training data without consent. | Not specified |
| 14 | The "sketching economy" will make taste and ideation the only scarce resources as AI turns sketches into production-ready designs. | Not specified |
| 16 | The next wave of $100M/year apps will be mobile-first with AI baked in from day one. | Not specified |
| 17 | AI middleman companies between foundation models and industries will capture most value as both ends commoditize. | Not specified |
| 18 | AI workflow designers, who map human processes into AI-augmented workflows, will be the highest-paid consultants. | By 2035 |
| 19 | AI will create winner-take-most markets, with a 6-12 month window to establish dominance in a vertical. | By March 2026 |
| 22 | Custom AI tools will become cheaper than hiring humans, even for small businesses. | Soon |
| 24 | AI will reduce operating costs by 60%, making small businesses attractive acquisition targets, leading to an SMB acquisition frenzy. | Not specified |
| 26 | Video game studios will split into agent-driven content farms and boutique studios focused on core mechanics; the middle will disappear. | Not specified |
| 27 | Corporate photography will die as AI generates unlimited on-brand imagery for subscription costs. | Not specified |
| 29 | AGI might emerge from interconnected agent networks with emergent properties. | Not specified |
| 30 | Predictive AI will create quiet fortunes, as knowing what will happen is more valuable than generating content. | Not specified |
| 33 | AI will kill the homepage, replacing interfaces with dynamic entry points based on user context. | Not specified |
| 35 | AI will unbundle Google, making every vertical search engine, directory, and comparison tool a billion-dollar opportunity. | Not specified |
| 36 | Every small business will have a "ghost team" of automated bookkeepers, sales agents, and marketers run by one founder and bots. | Not specified |
| 37 | AI-generated content will create a monoculture of ideas; original human thinking will become a premium. | Not specified |
| 38 | Schools will be disintermediated by AI; smart teens will skip formal education, build audiences, and become entrepreneurs. | Not specified |
| 39 | 80% of the "AI startup" category will look like spam, while the rest become infrastructure. | by September 2026 |
| 41 | Most marketing will be done by AI; humans will focus on storytelling, vibes, and brand energy. | Not specified |
| 43 | The first $1B AGI startup will initially look like a toy, as all world-changing interfaces do. | Not specified |