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Critical Thinking

Evaluate claims. Separate signal from noise.

What It Is

The ability to assess arguments, evidence, and assumptions without being fooled by rhetoric, emotion, or authority.

Why It Matters

Most information is noise. Most arguments have holes. Critical thinking protects you from bad decisions dressed as good ones.

Without Critical ThinkingWith Critical Thinking
Accept claims at face valueDemand evidence
Swayed by confidenceSwayed by substance
Fooled by correlationSeek causation
Believe what feels trueTest what is true

Core Patterns

  • Source quality — Who benefits from you believing this?
  • Evidence type — Anecdote, data, or logic?
  • Hidden assumptions — What must be true for this to work?
  • Counter-arguments — What's the strongest case against?
  • Falsifiability — How would you know if you're wrong?

How to Develop

  1. Steel-man opposing views — make them stronger, then evaluate
  2. Ask "compared to what?" — alternatives matter
  3. Check your priors — what did you believe before this evidence?
  4. Seek disconfirmation — try to prove yourself wrong
  5. Sleep on decisions — emotion fades, logic remains

The Shadow

Cynicism. Dismissing everything. Analysis paralysis. Mistaking skepticism for wisdom.

Archetype Connection

Primary: Realist — grounds claims in evidence Secondary: Philosopher — questions assumptions

Context